Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012763 0.015636 0.019305 0.024466 0.031766 0.042108 0.058660
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008957 0.011912 0.016184 0.023183 0.035220 0.057147 0.106966
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007270 0.010183 0.014751 0.023078 0.039709 0.077329 0.200187
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006337 0.009250 0.014127 0.023872 0.046205 0.109324 0.435702
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005576 0.008389 0.013341 0.023973 0.051322 0.146469 1.002366
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004859 0.007458 0.012188 0.022858 0.052697 0.175136 2.150334
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004361 0.006822 0.011444 0.022387 0.055715 0.220053 6.976736
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004115 0.006592 0.011438 0.023670 0.065604 0.341055 515.651594
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003967 0.006518 0.011728 0.025848 0.081523 0.628039 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003829 0.006436 0.011981 0.028066 0.101326 1.308827 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003581 0.006103 0.011595 0.028213 0.111391 2.212708 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003363 0.005801 0.011230 0.028304 0.121958 4.090585 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003018 0.005232 0.010204 0.026093 0.116644 5.094521 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002748 0.004796 0.009451 0.024660 0.116259 7.925906 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002571 0.004536 0.009094 0.024544 0.126905 25.005797 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002454 0.004391 0.009001 0.025410 0.149609 1076.663330 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002321 0.004196 0.008742 0.025520 0.166574 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002158 0.003917 0.008214 0.024305 0.165680 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002034 0.003716 0.007871 0.023792 0.173958 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001980 0.003667 0.007942 0.025189 0.217787 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001953 0.003676 0.008182 0.027568 0.300933 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001923 0.003675 0.008393 0.029997 0.423248 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001845 0.003550 0.008204 0.030158 0.486420 NaN NaN